
The preliminaries over, let's take stock how my predictions went.....
Teams in bold: will qualify
Teams in brackets: can qualify
Teams with strikethrough: no chance
GROUP A
Before start: (France>Uruguay>South Africa>Mexico)
After round 1: (South Africa>Mexico>France>Uruguay)
After round 2: Uruguay>Mexico South Africa>France
Final result: Uruguay>Mexico South Africa>France
I called Uruguay as a likely QF candidate before the tournament, and they have not disappointed me. South Africa and especiallement the self-destructing French were major disappointments.
GROUP B
Before start: Argentina (Nigeria>Greece) South Korea
After round 1: Argentina (Nigeria>South Korea) Greece
After round 2: Argentina (South Korea>Nigeria>Greece)
Final result: Argentina>South Korea Greece>Nigeria
Before the start of the tournament I had South Korea as one of the teams that would certainly not reach the elimination rounds. They were a pleasant surprise, although Nigeria helped them a lot by missing the simplest of chances. Argentina rocked, but did not face any serious opposition.
GROUP C
Before start: England (Slovenia>USA>Algeria)
After round 1: England (Slovenia>USA>Algeria)
After round 2: (USA>England>Slovenia>Algeria)
Final result: USA>England Slovenia>Algeria
England not convincing (and that's an understatement), USA a pleasant surprise and last minute group winner in spite of several clueless referee decisions against them.
GROUP D
Before start: Germany (Ghana>Serbia) Australia
After round 1: Germany (Ghana>Serbia) Australia
After round 2: (Germany>Serbia>Ghana>Australia)
Final result: Germany>Ghana Australia>Serbia
Germany himmelhochjauchzend und zum Tode betruebt, but still qualifying on top. Good to see Ghana stay in the tournament, but kudos to the Aussies whom I regarded as totally without chance at the start, and who came tantalizingly close.
GROUP E
Before start: Netherlands (Denmark>Cameroon) Japan
After round 1: Netherlands (Denmark>Japan>Cameroon)
After round 2: Netherlands (Denmark>Japan) Cameroon
Final result: Netherlands>Japan Denmark>Cameroon
The Netherlands with less flair than expected, but with Germany-like persistence and success. Japan's convincing results were one of the biggest positive surprises of the first phase for me.
GROUP F
Before start: Italy (Paraguay>Slovakia) New Zealand
After round 1: Italy (Paraguay>Slovakia) New Zealand
After round 2: (Paraguay>Italy>Slovakia>New Zealand)
Final result: Paraguay>Slovakia New Zealand>Italy
The developing self-destruction of France was not surprising, but Italy going out in a relatively simple pool as fourth - amazing. Kudos to New Zealand, who did not lose a single game.
GROUP G
Before start: Brazil (Portugal>Cote d'Ivoire) North Korea
After round 1: Brazil (Cote d'Ivoire>Portugal) North Korea
After round 2: Brazil>Portugal Cote d'Ivoire>North Korea
Final result: Brazil>Portugal Cote d'Ivoire>North Korea
The group with the least surprises, and one where the end result matched my initial expectations.
GROUP H
Before start: Spain (Chile>Switzerland) Honduras
After round 1: (Spain>Switzerland>Chile) Honduras
After round 2: (Spain>Switzerland>Chile) Honduras
Final result: Spain>Chile Switzerland>Honduras
Spain overcoming the initial setback with at times great football, cementing their claims as one of the top favourites. I had expected Switzerland to beat Honduras 2-0 or more, but their failure is Chile's gain - ending the group the way I expected it all along, if not in the way it happened.
And the coming first elimination round (my faves in bold):
Uruguay-South Korea
South Korea's surprises will probably end here, I'd say Uruguay 70%.
Mexico-Argentina
Maradonna's men march on mercilessly and menacingly, 80%.
USA-Ghana
This one can go either way, but rooting for the African side, 55%.
England-Germany
A classic that can go either way as well, 55% (penalties anyone?).
Paraguay-Japan
Japan has impressed me. Paraguay still slight favourite, 60%.
Slovakia-Netherlands
Another cool 1-0 or so for the Dutch even if Robben can't play (90%).
Brazil-Chile
I really can see only one outcome here, no matter how much I enjoyed Chile's games (90%).
Portugal-Spain
If Spain keeps their heads cool vis-a-vis Portuguese dives, no contest (80%).
Finally, recapping my pre-tournament predictions in italics, with current comments:
Top favourites: Brazil, Spain
I think I would still stick with this, maybe add Argentina.
Other favourites: England, Germany, Italy, Netherlands
Italy already gone, one of England-Germany will be eliminated before the QF. Argentina moving up at least to this group, maybe higher.
Outsiders: Argentina, France, Portugal, Uruguay
Three out of four still standing, the French gone of course.
I would expect all eight quarter-finalists to come from this group of ten.
At least two will not, actually................. moreover, one of the semi-final places will go to either Uruguay or a country I did not even consider candidate for the quarter-finals.....
Possible survivors round 1: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Denmark, Ghana, Greece, Mexico, Nigeria, Paraguay, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Switzerland, USA
No chance in hell: Australia, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, New Zealand, Honduras
So I singled out six countries as dead certs for the sixteen whose tournament would be over by now - and two of them actually qualified for the knock-out phase (two others coming ever so close). Oh dear.